Re: Risk Calculation Analogies

[Montgom_N@msa01.brooks.af.mil]

>Date: Fri, 14 Jul 95 12:29:57 PST
>From: "USHINO, TOSH" <ushinot@songs.sce.com>
>Subject: Re: Risk Calculation Analogies

>     I don't know if this is what you had in mind, but...
>     Some years ago, I read someone compare extrapolating risk from low 
>     dose of radiation from high dose data in this manner:  Assume that a 
>     100 mph typhoon causes a $50,000 damage to a home.  Extrapolating 
from 
>     that, would it be reasonable to say that a 1 mph breeze could cause a 
>     $500 damage?

Tosh,

This is an interesting analogy.  Wouldn't wind damage be a threshold 
effect?
(Do we have enough data to prove that it is?  :-)

     
>     Tosh Ushino


Noel D. Montgomery, Capt, USAF, BSC
Health Physicist
USAF Radioisotope Committee Secretariat