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Re: 5 rem (50 mSv)/y as BRC Level




                    The evidence for a causal relationship between lung
cancer and smoking I think has now been demonstrated, no matter what the
cigarette companies say. The same is not true for low levels of ionizing
radiation and cancer. So what Joel has been saying is not "suspicious."
It is interesting tome that the ICRP, NCRP, BEIR, etc. only focus on
things like chromasome aberations and not much on repair mechanisms. They
focus on effects that may have a causal relationship to radiation and
not at all on studies that show no effect or even a beneficial effect.
It is almost as though those bodies WANT there to be a deleterious
effect from radiation (although why, I can't imagine). One would study
those populations with exposures less than 5 rem per year to see if
there were a beneficial effect just as one would study populations with
exposures above 5 rem per year to see if there were a deleterious
effect. I'm a little tired of always hearing about bad effects when, in
fact, there may be none. I'm almost to the point of saying: "If
radiation is so bad, why did God put it here?" But, I don't want to drag
theology into this string (unless some one else brings it up). However,
I did send a note to Bishop Sano in LA about his exhortation to LA
Methodists to oppose Ward Valley.

We seem to be at the point in this discussion where the argument
devolves into a consideration of whether one is a pessimist or an
optimist, or a conservative or a liberal, or some other pair of
descriptors. Without data it is difficult to carry on a rational dialog.
So, maybe only emotional arguments will out in the end. Have a happy 10
days. Al.

*** Reply to note of 10/24/95 09:54

From: ronald kathren
To: RADSAFE --INELMAIL RADSAFE

Subject: Re: 5 rem (50 mSv)/y as BRC Level

Joel --

I hate to say it, but your argument sounds suspiciously like those of the
tobacco companies -- ie there has never been a case of lung cancer 'proven'
to have been caused by cigarette smoking.  As for people in high background
areas, the results of studies attempting to link their higher exposure with
morbidity or early mortality have proven, by and large, inconclusive,
because of a number of factors including the small size of the populations
involved.  However, in the Kerala State of India, an increased incidence of
Down's syndrome and chromosome aberrations has been reported.  Similarly,
increased chromosome aberrations were observed in the Brazilian population
of Guarapari.  (Cf. BEIR V, pp. 383-385 for an excellen summary).

Finally, if a priori you conclude that 50 mSv (5 rem) annually is basically
risk free, then why even study populations or people exposed at or below
this level?

Ron


>     Ron,
>
>     As  you are well aware, there are many places on this planet
>where  every man, women and child are exposed to total  effective
>dose  equivalents in excess of 5 rem/yr (Poco de Caldas in Brazil
>is  one).  These populations have been studied pretty extensively
>with  no  ill effects noted (no higher rates of leukemia etc.)  I
>myself  have  a bathroom with 202 uranium oxide tiles (the  house
>was  built in 1926) and let me tell you, it is a "warm and toasty
>bathroom".  Yet I let my 4 1/2 year old take her bath there every
>night.   Yes,  I've weighed the risks and yes, I've come  to  the
>conclusion   that   the   risks   are   so   small   as   to   be
>negligible/unmeasurable - God only knows there are enough "other"
>things  that  all  of  us ingest through  our  food,  respiratory
>systems etc., that have an equal or greater potential to cause us
>harm.
>
>     Yet,  I  must admit, I am a true believer in "prudence"  for
>prudence  sake.   I  handle  large  sealed  sources  with  remote
>handling tools, I don't spend more time than necessary in bunkers
>with high radon levels, etc.
>
>     I  guess what I'm trying to say is that as H.P.'s we have (I
>believe)  knowledge  of  the  risks, and each  of  us  puts  that
>knowledge  into his or her own perspective of what or how great a
>risk  is.   All  of us know a LOT of "people  who  have  attained
>years"  (i.e.  old)  health  physicists who  have,  in  the  past
>received "big time" doses with no ill effects.  Is this a case of
>"familiarity  breeds  contempt"??   Maybe, but in most  cases,  I
>don't  think so.  Five rem/yr sounds like a big number, but is it
>really?   Can  you  tell me that 5 rem/year is going to  give  me
>cancer  or  otherwise  shorten my life-span?   Would  it  really?
>Prove  it!  Don't give me a bunch of clever (you better watch out
>for the bogey man) rhetoric, Prove it!
>
>
>     Joel Baumbaugh  (baumbaug@nosc.mil
>     NRaD
>     San Diego CA
>
>     Std.  disclaimer:  These are my and only my opinions and  do
>not  necessary reflect those of my boss', the Navy or the Federal
>Govt.
>
>                    --- message separator ---
>
>__________________________________________________________________
>Date: Thu, 19 Oct 95 00:08:26 -0500
>Sender: radsafe@romulus.ehs.uiuc.edu
>From: "Ron L. Kathren" <rkathren@beta.tricity.wsu.edu>
>To: Multiple recipients of list <radsafe@romulus.ehs.uiuc.edu>
>Subject: 5 rem (50 mSv)/y as BRC Level
>
>Just  out  of curiosity, I wonder how many on RADSAFE  would  be
>willing  to  be exposed a 5 rem (50 mSv) annually each and  every
>year?   Or have their children, pregnant wives or selves  exposed
>to this level?
>
>Just asking.  Let the flak fly -- I'll be away from e-mail for 10
>days  or  so but would be interested in hearing opinions.  In  my
>own case, I would not be willing to incur such an exposure.  And,
>when  my  wife  was  pregnant with twins many years  ago,  at  my
>recommendation  she declined an x-ray that the obstetrician  when
>asked admitted was likely of no use but was something he had been
>taught  in  medical school.  ALARA anyone?  Don't forget,  the  R
>stands for reasonable.
>
>Ron Kathren
>
>PS  to Melissa and fellow Radsafers -- These discussions are,  in
>my  view,  highly  informative  and educational.   My  thanks  in
>advance to those who help me to shape my own views.
>
>
>
>
>
>