[ RadSafe ] LNT and AGW

Doug Aitken jdaitken at sugar-land.oilfield.slb.com
Wed Sep 28 01:31:18 CDT 2011

Sometimes, it is valuable that someone interjects a little cold (humorous?)
factual information into our (limited) reality.......


Doug Aitken
QHSE Advisor, Schlumberger D&M Operations Support
Cell Phone: 713-562-8585
(alternate e-mail: doug.aitken at slb.com )
Mail: c/o Therese Wigzell,
Drilling & Measurements HQ,
300 Schlumberger Drive, MD15,
Sugar Land, Texas 77478


-----Original Message-----
From: radsafe-bounces at health.phys.iit.edu
[mailto:radsafe-bounces at health.phys.iit.edu] On Behalf Of JPreisig at aol.com
Sent: Wednesday, September 28, 2011 12:42 AM
To: radsafe at health.phys.iit.edu
Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] LNT and AGW

Hi Radsafe:
       From:   _jpreisig at aol.com_ (mailto:jpreisig at aol.com)    .
       Jerry Cohen, Radsafe:
                The peaks in Earth polar motion occurred in 1910, 1954, 
1998 and so on.   For recent VLBI
(Very Long Baseline Interferometry) data about Earth polar motion, do a
google search on
        Goddard Space Flight  Center AND VLBI.  You can see the peaks in the
VLBI polar motion  data.
For older polar motion data, see International Latitudinal Service (ILS)
polar motion data.
        During these polar motion peaks  (rather broad peaks in time), the
Earth's geometric (polar)axis dips extra strongly towards and away from the
Sun, depending on  the Earth season.
The Earth dipping more strongly towards the Sun will cause the Earth to get
warmer than average.
In the years around 1998, this extra heat will accumulate over time and
Earth temperatures will be extra warm, as we and NASA have seen.  Things
should get cooler or  at least closer to average behavior in the next 5
years.  There may be a linear global warming component of temperature due to
Carbon, etc. but I do not think it is all that large.  Data for Earth
temperature should give us some idea in the next 10 years what is really
going on.  Global  cooling will take place from
1998 to 2020.  The last global cooling episode occurred from 1954 to
This isn't a pie in the sky non-provable hypothesis --- data do exist to
resolve the problem rather fully.
         Papers already exist on  LNT --- read them.  Take the LNT data and
fit them with the best  fitting numerical equation.  Use Chi-squared test
(or whatever) to judge  the goodness of the data fitting.
Don't use too many data fitting parameters or too few.  In low  radiation
Energy/low dose rate regions of an dose/effect plot, if there are no data,
then there are no  data.  
Extrapolate into the
data-free region.  Did Mueller err on the side of safety????
        Parthasarathy (and Health  Physicists in Brazil, South Carolina,
India etc.) please tell local beach citizens to return the beach sand to its
original location after they've removed the Thorium from the local beach
sand.  I guess the Thorium/U233 reactor fuel  cycle will have its downside
affecting local ocean beaches.  Then again, an industrious person with  a
dump truck (rented), might be able to pay off a whole home (for his/her
family???) with one year's work getting Thorium from beach sand???  Maybe
not ---- I haven't made any rigorous calculation about this type of work.
One could separate the Thorium from the sand with a large scale chemical-lab
type of centrifuge????
        In the years around 2020 (22  years into the polar motion sinusoidal
cycle), there are usually events of great snowstorms and/or (global???)
drought (Texas now???), if the past data are any indication.  I haven't
really thought through why this occurs at  this particular time in the polar
motion sinusoidal cycle.
       Have a nice day!!!!!
       Regards,    Joseph R.  (Joe) Preisig, PhD
PS  In Italy, some Seismologists are being legally prosecuted for not
issuing an earthquake alert
      about the recent????  magnitude 6.7  earthquake that killed people in 
Italy.   Hmmmm.
      Experimenters at CERN have an early result  indicating that the speed
of light has been 
      exceeded???!!!!!   Roll over,  Beethoven.  Roll over, Einstein!!!!!
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