[ RadSafe ] Fwd: [New post] Meticulous research indicates much greater li...

[Bill Prestwich]

The Bhopal chemical disaster far outweighs any nuclear power accident when
it comes to the harm done. Oil spills and mining disasters need far more
discussion than reactor accidents, since the consequences have been far more
terrific.

Bill. 

-----Original Message-----
From: radsafe-bounces at agni.phys.iit.edu
[mailto:radsafe-bounces at agni.phys.iit.edu] On Behalf Of JPreisig at aol.com
Sent: Wednesday, April 22, 2015 11:00 AM
To: radsafe at agni.phys.iit.edu
Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] Fwd: [New post] Meticulous research indicates much
greater li...

Radsafe,
 
     When the coal, oil, natural gas start to run out  in 50 years, people
will be building new nuclear reactors with a big smile on  their faces.  
Maybe they'll have 40% efficient solar cells on their  home roofs also.
 
     Joe Preisig
 
 
 
 
 
 
In a message dated 4/22/2015 6:38:17 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time,
rwhelbig at gmail.com writes:

Is this  really meticulous research or are these people anti-nuclear
activists first  and scientists second?

Roger Helbig

Meticulous research  indicates much greater likelihood of another
Chernobyl-scale nuclear  accident

by Christina MacPherson

Wheatley and co's work suggests  that a Chernobyl-scale accident is
worryingly likely to occur within the  working lifetime of the reactors now
being built. And when that happens, a  once obscure place will enter the
lexicon as a synonym for catastrophe,  just like Chernobyl, Windscale and
Fukushima.

These risks will have  to be carefully weighed against the advantages.
The question for engineers,  policy makers and the general public alike is
whether that risk is worth  taking, given what's at stake.

The Chances of Another Chernobyl Before  2050? 50%, Say Safety Specialists,
MIT Technology Review  April 17,  2015  ".....And there's a
50:50 chance of a Three Mile Island-scale  disaster in the next 10 years,
according to the largest statistical  analysis of nuclear accidents ever
undertaken........

What is the  likelihood of another Chernobyl in the next few years?

Today, we get an  answer thanks to the work of Spencer Wheatley and Didier
Sornette at ETH  Zurich in Switzerland and Benjamin Sovacool at Aarhus
University in  Denmark. These guys have compiled the most comprehensive list
of nuclear  accidents ever created and used it to calculate the likelihood
of other  accidents in future.

Their worrying conclusion is that the chances are  50:50 that a major
nuclear disaster will occur somewhere in the world  before 2050. "There is a
50 per cent chance that a Chernobyl event (or  larger) occurs in the next 27
years," they conclude.

The nuclear  industry has long been criticised for its over-confident
attitude to risk.  But truly independent analyses are few and far between,
partly because much  of the data on accidents is compiled by the nuclear
industry itself, which  is reluctant to share it.

The International Atomic Energy Agency rates  accidents using a system
called the International Nuclear Event Scale,  which is related to the
amount of radiation released. However, the Agency  does not publish a
historical database of these accidents, probably because  it has a dual role
of both regulating the nuclear industry and promoting  it. Read more of this
post

Christina MacPherson | April 22, 2015 at  8:22 am | Categories: safety
| URL:  http://wp.me/phgse-jiW

http://nuclear-news.net/2015/04/22/meticulous-research-indicates-much-greate
r-likelihood-of-another-chernobyl-scale-nuclear-accident/
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