[ RadSafe ] Fwd: [New post] Meticulous research indicates much greater li...
William Lipton
doctorbill34 at gmail.com
Wed Apr 22 10:30:22 CDT 2015
Saying that other industries are more hazardous than nuclear power is NOT
an effective public relations approach. It reminds me of the story where I
was asked to give the eulogy at the funeral of someone who was universally
regarded as mean spirited and hateful. After extensive thought, all I
could say was: "Well, his brother was worse."
Bill Lipton
It's not about dose, it's about trust.
On Wed, Apr 22, 2015 at 11:07 AM, Bill Prestwich <prestwic at mcmaster.ca>
wrote:
> The Bhopal chemical disaster far outweighs any nuclear power accident when
> it comes to the harm done. Oil spills and mining disasters need far more
> discussion than reactor accidents, since the consequences have been far
> more
> terrific.
>
> Bill.
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: radsafe-bounces at agni.phys.iit.edu
> [mailto:radsafe-bounces at agni.phys.iit.edu] On Behalf Of JPreisig at aol.com
> Sent: Wednesday, April 22, 2015 11:00 AM
> To: radsafe at agni.phys.iit.edu
> Subject: Re: [ RadSafe ] Fwd: [New post] Meticulous research indicates much
> greater li...
>
> Radsafe,
>
> When the coal, oil, natural gas start to run out in 50 years, people
> will be building new nuclear reactors with a big smile on their faces.
> Maybe they'll have 40% efficient solar cells on their home roofs also.
>
> Joe Preisig
>
>
>
>
>
>
> In a message dated 4/22/2015 6:38:17 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time,
> rwhelbig at gmail.com writes:
>
> Is this really meticulous research or are these people anti-nuclear
> activists first and scientists second?
>
> Roger Helbig
>
> Meticulous research indicates much greater likelihood of another
> Chernobyl-scale nuclear accident
>
> by Christina MacPherson
>
> Wheatley and co's work suggests that a Chernobyl-scale accident is
> worryingly likely to occur within the working lifetime of the reactors now
> being built. And when that happens, a once obscure place will enter the
> lexicon as a synonym for catastrophe, just like Chernobyl, Windscale and
> Fukushima.
>
> These risks will have to be carefully weighed against the advantages.
> The question for engineers, policy makers and the general public alike is
> whether that risk is worth taking, given what's at stake.
>
> The Chances of Another Chernobyl Before 2050? 50%, Say Safety Specialists,
> MIT Technology Review April 17, 2015 ".....And there's a
> 50:50 chance of a Three Mile Island-scale disaster in the next 10 years,
> according to the largest statistical analysis of nuclear accidents ever
> undertaken........
>
> What is the likelihood of another Chernobyl in the next few years?
>
> Today, we get an answer thanks to the work of Spencer Wheatley and Didier
> Sornette at ETH Zurich in Switzerland and Benjamin Sovacool at Aarhus
> University in Denmark. These guys have compiled the most comprehensive
> list
> of nuclear accidents ever created and used it to calculate the likelihood
> of other accidents in future.
>
> Their worrying conclusion is that the chances are 50:50 that a major
> nuclear disaster will occur somewhere in the world before 2050. "There is
> a
> 50 per cent chance that a Chernobyl event (or larger) occurs in the next
> 27
> years," they conclude.
>
> The nuclear industry has long been criticised for its over-confident
> attitude to risk. But truly independent analyses are few and far between,
> partly because much of the data on accidents is compiled by the nuclear
> industry itself, which is reluctant to share it.
>
> The International Atomic Energy Agency rates accidents using a system
> called the International Nuclear Event Scale, which is related to the
> amount of radiation released. However, the Agency does not publish a
> historical database of these accidents, probably because it has a dual
> role
> of both regulating the nuclear industry and promoting it. Read more of
> this
> post
>
> Christina MacPherson | April 22, 2015 at 8:22 am | Categories: safety
> | URL: http://wp.me/phgse-jiW
>
>
> http://nuclear-news.net/2015/04/22/meticulous-research-indicates-much-greate
> r-likelihood-of-another-chernobyl-scale-nuclear-accident/
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