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RESRAD Risk/Dose Question
Hi All,
Here is a question for you modelers and RESRAD experts. You also may find
it entertaining as it is modeling "proof" that there is no such thing as
zero risk.
For various obscure reasons, I've done a RESRAD run using all default
parameters with the exception of using an initial concentration of 1 pCi/g
of Sr-90 and a Kd of 6 (for all soil zones). When looking at the results I
get an initial dose beginning at year 41. I also find Sr 90 in the well
water at year 41 (I'm fine with this, this all makes sense, I presume, based
on breakthrough times, etc.). But when I use RESRAD to calculate risk, I
start to get risk from drinking well water at year 8! Granted the risks are
"small" (as one would expect with no concentration!) but one could argue
they shouldn't be there at all!
I presume this is due to a rounding issue - RESRAD is calling concentrations
below a certain limit zero - but it is doing this AFTER calculating (and
storing) the risk numbers. Has anyone experienced this same issue? Can
anyone confirm that this is what is happening?
I can email anyone interested the raw data, but it is easy enough to run
yourself. The initial concentration of Sr-90 is 1 pCi/g. Under transport
option, change the Kd in the various zones (contaminated, unsaturated and
saturated) to 6. Leave all the other values as defaults. Run the model and
look at the "standard graphics" for concentration in well water, dose from
drinking water, and risk from drinking water. You'll see the risk appears
before the strontium ends up in the drinking water.
Thanks for your collective experience,
Eric
Eric Frohmberg, Toxicologist
Environmental Toxicology Program
Maine Bureau of Health
11 State House Station
Key Bank Plaza, 8th Floor
Augusta, ME 04355
207-287-8141 (phone)
207-287-9058 (fax)
eric.frohmberg@state.me.us
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