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RE: A question of statistical significance vs operational significance
> So when people ask to explain his
findings, it is like asking someone to explain
randomness.
All very interesting, on an abstract, generic basis. But we still have the
fact that, as stated in NCRP-136 (the 6-year effort to support the LNT): "It
is important to note that the rates of cancer in most populations exposed to
low-level radiation have not been found to be detectably increased, and that
in most cases the rates have appeared to be decreased." This is also true
of Steve Wing's data and Stewart's, and the a-bomb survivors are outliving
the unirradiated controls. And people who live in high natural backgrounds
have lower cancer than others. Ditto for the shipyard workers and British
radiologists. Isn't great how the confounders keep us well!
And of course, biological theory and lab data with organisms at all levels
from one celled to human, all show the same thing. And every other
challenge to the body--toxic chemicals, microbes, exercise, sunshine, heat
challenge--all work this way.
So LNT, which doesn't even have a good theory behind it, must somehow be
forced to transcend both theory and data.
It's like Nixon used to say, "Sometimes you have to rise above principle."
Ted Rockwell
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