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Re: Study Links Smog Increases to Urban U.S. Deaths



>From what I've learned on Radsafe, it is clear that this study should be

discredited since it does not account for possible confounding factors such

as:

Radon levels, pollen counts, beer consumption, sexual frequency, atmospheric

pressure, Dow-Jones averages, astrological signs, etc., etc. etc, etc.------





----- Original Message -----

From: Flood, John <FloodJR@NV.DOE.GOV>

To: 'Susan Gawarecki' <loc@icx.net>; RadSafe <radsafe@list.vanderbilt.edu>

Sent: Monday, November 29, 2004 1:36 PM

Subject: RE: Study Links Smog Increases to Urban U.S. Deaths





> OK, I'll bite on this one.

>

> "Ground-level ozone typically increases when temperatures rise."

>

> AND

>

> "this study provides strong evidence of short-term effects of ozone on

> mortality," said Francesca Dominici, an author of the study."

>

> Have they found a relationship between ozone concentration and the

> short-term mortality rate, or have they actually found a relationship

> between temperature and the short-term mortality rate, where the ozone

> concentration is a surrogate measure for temperature changes?

>

> Bob Flood

> Nevada Test Site

>

>

> -----Original Message-----

> From: Susan Gawarecki [mailto:loc@icx.net]

> Sent: Monday, November 29, 2004 12:04 PM

> To: RadSafe

> Subject: Study Links Smog Increases to Urban U.S. Deaths

>

> Imagine the outcry if nuclear power could be linked to even a fraction

> of this number of deaths annually.

>

> Susan Gawarecki

>

> Study Links Smog Increases to Urban U.S. Deaths

> http://www.enn.com/today.html?id=398

> November 17, 2004  By Michael Conlon, Reuters

>

> CHICAGO - Increases in air pollution caused by cars, power plants and

> industry can be directly linked to higher death rates in U.S. cities, a

> study said Tuesday.

>

> Reducing such ozone pollution by about 35 percent on any given day could

> save about 4,000 lives a year across the country, researchers at the

> Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies said.

>

> The conclusion came from a look at 95 urban areas where about 40 percent

> of the U.S. population lives, comparing spikes in ozone pollution there

> with death rates from 1987 to 2000.

>

> Ground-level ozone typically increases when temperatures rise. While

> short-term increases have been recognized as causing jumps in hospital

> admissions, especially among those with chronic respiratory problems,

> there have been inconsistent results from studies tying them to

> mortality rates, the authors said.

>

> "By linking day-to-day variations in ambient ozone levels and daily

> number of deaths in each of the urban areas, and pooling the results

> across the 95 urban areas, this study provides strong evidence of

> short-term effects of ozone on mortality," said Francesca Dominici, an

> author of the study.

>

> "This is one of the largest ozone pollution studies ever conducted,"

> added Michelle Bell, the lead author. "This actually underestimates the

> total impact of ozone on mortality, because it only captures the

> mortality impact associated with high ozone levels in the past few days,

> not the impact associated with a lifetime exposure to high ozone

> levels," she said.

>

> "This reduction of ozone is modest given available technology," she added.

>

> The government-financed study, published in this week's Journal of the

> American Medical Association, found that an increase of 10 parts per

> billion in ozone pollution in the previous week was associated with an

> increase of 0.52 percent in the daily death rate and specifically with a

> 0.64 percent increase in cardiovascular and respiratory-related deaths.

>

> People aged 65 to 74 had a slightly higher increase in the death rate,

> at 0.70 percent.

>

> The 10 parts per billion increase would correspond to an additional 319

> annual premature deaths in New York City and 3,767 premature deaths

> annually for the other urban communities, the study concluded.

>

> Ozone pollution can be reduced by lowering energy consumption through

> such things as car pooling and using public transportation.

>

> The authors said the 10 parts per billion figure chosen a unit for the

> study has no special significance in itself other than that it helps

> demonstrate that higher ozone is associated with higher mortality.

>

> While ground-level ozone is considered a hazard stratospheric ozone is

> not because it helps protect the Earth from harmful solar rays.

>

> Source: Reuters

>

>

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