Re: Chernobyl fallout and Swedish cancer incidence

["Bjorn Cedervall" <bcradsafers@HOTMAIL.COM>]

>However, the "increased average lifetime" could also

be due to better nutrician or medical care of both.

One trained, as in epidemiology, needs to look at

confounding factors. See paragraph 1.

---



I think hypothetically that both these factors are relevant (lowered use of 

salted foods may be involved). Then I could imagine that somewhat milder 

winters (over decades - I would definitely die quickly up in that cold - 

people like me up there would have migrations south ASAP as the primary 

goal) may play a role, and in addition demographic shifts (in age pyramids) 

may be due to migration effects - how would I know? Then all modern stuff 

that makes life easier (nuclear powered laundry machines, better insulation, 

and all that...). All of these may be relevant. Something else?



My personal comments only,



Bjorn Cedervall  bcradsafers@hotmail.com

PS. I had, in my preliminary analysis, missed the most northern county in a 

few calculations (there aren't many people living here) and therefore the 

average age at time of death may be somewhat lower than I first wrote - 

something like 2.6 years. Still quite an increase over 11 years I believe. 

Hopefully I can refine the numbers later on with the help of some 

professional epidemiology person (I am aware of quite a few names but many 

of them seem to be focused on creating press releases which indicates that 

they are not my types).





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