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Re: Cohen's Observation
Please provide a concrete example of how you accounted for inter county
variability
> Let me explain again why I need concrete hypothetical examples of
> what can be wrong with my treatments. My papers contain many examples of
> what could possibly explain my results. For example, according to Table 2
> of Item #7 on my web site, the existence of an unrecognized confounding
> factor which has a correlation of 0.75 with both radon levels and lung
> cancer rates, would do the job. But in the accompanying discussion, I show
> that such high correlations are extremely implausible. Plausibility of
> correlations is a very important aspect of my reasoning.
> It is impossible to address the issue of plausibility without a
> concrete example. That is why I need a concrete example. It can be made
> up (i.e. hypothetical), and there is no need to show that it is valid. It
> is then up to me to evaluate its plausibility, and it is that evaluation
> that I would like to see judged by an arbitrator.
> It is this need for a concrete hypothetical example that prompted
> me to offer an award for one that I could not show to be implausible in
> the judgment of an impartial arbitrator. For an arbitrator on my
> procedures, without a concrete hypothetical example, I would require a
> theoretical physicist; but for an arbitrator over a concrete example, I
> would accept any scientist willing to engage in a few back-and-forth
> exchanges with me.
>
> Bernard L. Cohen
> Physics Dept.
> University of Pittsburgh
> Pittsburgh, PA 15260
> Tel: (412)624-9245
> Fax: (412)624-9163
> e-mail: blc@pitt.edu
> web site: http://www.phyast.pitt.edu/~blc
>
> On Fri, 20 Jun 2003 epirad@mchsi.com wrote:
>
> > > > My argument with you is that such a blunt instrument as
> > > > an ecologic study should not be used to test the validity of the LNT.
> > >
> > > --If it is a blunt instrument, why can't you make up a concrete
> > > hypothetical example of how that bluntness can explain my results?
> > >
> > I have answered this question many times including in the papers and letters
> we
> > wrote in Health Physics regarding your work.
> >
> >
> >
> >
>
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